Seagate says HDD demand will outstrip supply in 2012

Shake&Bake

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Hard disk drive supplier Seagate Technology provided a financial update today, reiterating that demand for HDD units will exceed supply in 2012 in the wake of flooding last year in Thailand.

Seagate updated its financial outlook for fiscal second quarter 2012 on Wednesday afternoon, stating it shipped approximately 47 million disk drives, which included approximately 700,000 Samsung disk drives.

Revenue is expected to be between $3.1 billion and $3.2 billion, the company said. Analysts had projected revenue of $2.79 billion on average, according to Bloomberg. Seagate completed the acquisition of Samsung's hard disk drive business in December.

Supply will not catch up with demand anytime soon. "The company continues to believe that during calendar 2012 unit demand will exceed supply," Seagate said.

But Segate claims prices should remain relatively stable. "The exabyte (overall capacity) shortage will be more pronounced than the unit shortage, and as a result pricing is expected to remain stable," Seagate added.

Overall capacity demand is growing at between 40 percent and 50 percent per year so by the time the unit supply is back on track, the gap for unmet capacity demand will be much higher, a Seagate spokesman said in response to an e-mail query.

The average capacity per drive is now 653 gigabytes, Seagate said. Increasing the average has helped it weather the supply chain disruption and to better meet unit demand.

Intel said last month that, largely due to the HDD shortage, it will see a revenue shortfall of $1 billion. "We do expect...[the] shortage of HDDs to be pretty significant in the early part of 2012," Stacy J. Smith, Intel's chief financial officer, told analysts in a December 12 conference call.

Source: CNet
 
Now will be an excellent time for SSD's to catch up.

And also if somebody want to start their own HDD manufacturing business...
 
High Demand and low supply = very high prices... Thank goodness I am not planning on buying a drive soon.
 
The RIAA must be smiling from ear to ear.

Less hard drive sales = less pirating.
 
I hope they learned some thing from the flooding in Thailand and we don't see this sort of thing from flooding or any other natural disaster .
 
I hope they learned some thing from the flooding in Thailand and we don't see this sort of thing from flooding or any other natural disaster .

I've uploaded a Gartner document that I received from one of my suppliers about the HDD market. Something that is clear from the report is there will be a global push to have more factories located around the world to help with supply should a natural disaster strike again.

0.5mb PDF - http://filegooi.co.za/get2/8d20c0d9ca9bf038d644683d49041e07/Gartner_report_HDD_October_2011.pdf
 
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