Inflation keeps rising

kiepie

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Johannesburg - South Africa's targeted CPIX inflation quickened to 6.4% year-on-year in May, from 6.3% in April, slightly above the market expectation, official data showed on Wednesday.
Statistics South Africa also said that the all-items consumer price index (CPI) increased by an annual rate of 6.9% in May, compared with 7.0% in April.

On a monthly basis, CPIX rose by 0.6% compared with 1.2% growth previously, while headline CPI increased by 0.6% month-on-month.

A Reuters poll forecast that CPIX would be unchanged at 6.3% year-on-year and predicted a rise of 0.6% month-on-month. The CPI was seen at 7.0% year-on-year and 0.6% month-on-month.

The biggest contributors to the rise in inflation are:

food (+2.4 percentage points),
transport (+1.1 of a percentage point),
housing (+0.7 of a percentage point),
medical care and health expenses (+0.5 of a percentage point),
household operation (+0.5 of a percentage point),
education (+0.4 of a percentage point) and
fuel and power (+0.3 of a percentage point.)

Real surprising fuel had such a little impact. If fuel comes down in July, CPIX could fall below 6% in August or maybe September.

All the interest rate hikes of lat year should all still show an effect next month. Were a hike only shows an effect upto 18 months later.
If CPIX could be lower in July, we would have an interesting Reserve Bank meeting next month.
 
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